🟠 Looking back at $BTC price data from 2018-2025, you have to focus on the type of panic, not just the size of the drop. 📌 Chain-reaction crashes like Luna and 3AC hit market confidence so hard that $BTC’s 7-30 day recovery is noticeably weaker. Meanwhile, crashes driven by policy or geopolitical shocks (tariff fears, mining ban, regulatory panic) historically bounce much stronger in the following 7-30 days. -> Macro policy panic only delivers real damage when the market is already overstretched. Capital truly leaves the system only when the crash is structural and contagious. 📌 On average, across every major dump, #BTC still posts a +10% return 30 days later, no matter how bad the macro narrative looks. -> Market behavior repeats: sellers exhaust themselves, shorts get greedy, and the rebound comes right after. 📌 For the 10/11/2025 event: This is not a Luna/3AC-style collapse, and it’s not a balance-sheet shock either. It’s a macro correction mixed with the classic 4-year cycle fear - historically the category with the strongest probability of a sharp rebound.