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Tree News: U.S. CPI: +4.2% YEAR-OVER-YEAR (EST. +4.2%) U.S. CORE CPI: +2.9% YEAR-OVER-YEAR (EST. +2.9%) Tree News: U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI): up 4.2% year-over-year (expected +4.2%) U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): up 2.9% year-over-year (expected +2.9%)

#USCPIHot4.2CoreCools U.S. May CPI came in at 4.2% YoY, the highest since April 2023, but the headline doesn't tell the full story. Over 60% of the monthly increase was driven by energy prices, while Core CPI rose just 0.2% MoM, below expectations. Headline inflation is heating up, but underlying inflation pressures appear to be easing. Goldman Sachs has already scrapped its 2026 rate-cut forecast, pushing the final two cuts to 2027 and raising the odds of another Fed hike to 20%. Now all eyes are on the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. More than the rate decision itself, markets will be watching the Fed's tone. A more hawkish stance could strengthen the dollar, push yields higher, and trigger fresh volatility across stocks, Bitcoin, and altcoins. $BTC $ETH

$BTC 📊 Bitcoin Holds Above $61,500 – CPI Data Meets Expectations, Market Digests Inflation Signals Bitcoin is currently trading at $61,529, down just 0.3% over the past 24 hours, with relatively stable volatility. Macro update: The U.S. May CPI data is out! Headline CPI came in at +4.2% year-over-year, the highest since April 2023. Core CPI rose +2.9% YoY. Both figures were in line with market expectations. Key takeaways: · This inflation uptick was primarily driven by energy prices (up 3.9% month-over-month), linked to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East · Core inflation rose just +0.2% month-over-month, below the previous reading, suggesting underlying inflation pressures remain manageable · Following the data release, markets dialed back bets on Fed rate hikes, and U.S. equity futures moved higher Market reaction: Bitcoin showed little reaction to the data, holding firmly above **$61,000**. According to Polymarket data, the market is pricing an **83.5% probability** that Bitcoin stays above $60,000 on June 11. Bottom line: CPI in line = no "surprise" for now. While inflation has rebounded, it was largely anticipated, and the easing of core inflation has eased fears of aggressive rate hikes. Bitcoin is currently in a "waiting for the next catalyst" phase, with the $60,000 level remaining a key psychological support in the short term. #美国五月CPI录得4.2%：核心通胀放缓 #SPCX-IPO超募4倍，光模块同夜崩盘 #美以伊再交火引发风险资产剧烈波动 $ETH $ZEC

#USCPIHot4.2CoreCools 🔥 US Core Inflation Cools, German Bonds Recover After Oil Shock The May core CPI rose only 0.2% (compared to the previous month), lower than the forecast of 0.3% – a positive signal for the Fed ahead of Chairman Kevin Walsh's conference. The data helped bring the yield on 2-year US Treasury bonds down to 4.11%. Previously, the surge in oil prices following President Trump's tough stance on Iran had dragged down German bonds. But thanks to the CPI meeting expectations, German bonds have almost fully recovered. However, risky assets remain under pressure: 10-year French bonds fell by more than 6 basis points, and Italian bonds fell by more than 12 basis points. Will the Fed actually raise interest rates before the end of the year now that inflation has cooled?

🚨 Trump: "We'll Bomb the Sh Out of Them" If No Iran Deal Tomorrow** The ultimatum just went nuclear in tone. Asked what happens if Iran refuses a peace deal, President Trump told reporters the US will "bomb the sh** out of them tomorrow night." Coming hours after a fresh wave of US strikes, this sets up a stark fork in the road: either a deal lands, or the conflict escalates to a much bigger level. The backdrop makes this explosive. Iran has just declared the Strait of Hormuz fully closed to all traffic, including oil tankers, warning any ship crossing will be targeted. That single chokepoint normally carries about a fifth of the world's oil. With it shut and the US threatening heavier bombing, energy markets are staring at the worst-case setup. For markets, this is maximum uncertainty. Today's inflation already hit a three-year high of 4.2%, driven almost entirely by the oil shock. More bombing means more pressure on oil, more inflation, and a Fed with no room to ease. The instant reaction to war headlines is risk-off: investors flee to cash and dump volatile assets first, and Bitcoin sits right in that bucket. One pattern worth remembering, though: Trump has issued dramatic deadlines before in this conflict, then extended them when talks progressed. His style swings between threats and diplomacy. So this could be a brutal escalation, or a hardball tactic to force a signature. Nobody knows which until the deadline passes. Either way, the next 24 hours are binary and violent. A deal could spark a sharp relief rally. No deal could mean a deeper shock. Watching from here: the deadline, oil prices, and any sign of a deal. Capital preservation first. Cut leverage, stay liquid. Not financial advice. $BTC $CL $BZ

Oil is the only green asset in Hyperliquid’s top open interest tickets — $BRENTOIL has increased 2.21% in the last 24 hours to trade at $93.13, while $WTIOIL has climbed 2.49% in the period to trade at $90.01 on Wednesday afternoon. While Trump announced on Truth Social the US military secretly escorted 200 commercial ships and more than 100 million barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, the war in Iran is mounting with both sides trading hostilities. CNBC reported two hours ago that Trump said the US will hit Iran “hard again today,” pressuring Iran to sign a deal. Crypto sold off with bitcoin, ethereum, solana, and hype all sliding in the day~ equities as well with Big Tech and semiconductors closing lower amidst additional macro pressure from hawkish jobs and inflation data. “Today's declines came after data showed consumer prices rising 4.2% on an annualized basis, their highest level in three years, reflecting the war-fueled surge in energy prices,” said the Wall Street Journal in a Wednesday report. “The report largely matched expectations, with investors saying it won’t put additional pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.” The closing bell rings at 4 p.m. EST to mark the end of the day’s trading session, though blockchains such as Hyperliquid remain open to execute transactions. Shares of Oracle have dropped in after-hour trading after the firm reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on Wednesday after the bell. The software company turned hyperscaler posted revenue and earnings that exceeded analyst expectations. Sales of $19.2 billion (estimate: $19.1 billion) Adjusted earnings per share of $2.11 (estimate: $1.96) RPO (remaining performance obligations, or backlog) of $638 billion (estimate: $601.1 billion) Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue of $5.8 billion, versus the Street’s $5.7 billion Capex of $55.7 billion, above the $50.9 billion analysts had expected for the year $ORCL #USCPIHot4.2CoreCools #SpaceXIPOvsOpticsCrash #HormuzStrikeRiskOff

𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝗖𝗣𝗜 𝗖𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗕𝗲𝗮𝘁𝘀 𝗮𝘁 𝟬.𝟮% 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗚𝗶𝘃𝗲𝘀 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗶𝗻 𝗮 𝗙𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗿 𝑩𝒖𝒕 𝑰𝒏𝒔𝒕𝒊𝒕𝒖𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏𝒂𝒍 𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝑱𝒖𝒔𝒕 𝑯𝒊𝒕 𝑰𝒕𝒔 𝑳𝒐𝒘𝒆𝒔𝒕 𝑷𝒐𝒊𝒏𝒕 𝑺𝒊𝒏𝒄𝒆 2020 May CPI landed exactly at the 4.2% headline consensus but delivered a genuine surprise on core — 0.2% monthly against a 0.3% forecast — suggesting energy is driving the surge while the broader economy holds. Bitcoin stabilized near $61,000, with the worst-case scenario of broadening inflation now off the table heading into Warsh's first FOMC meeting June 17. But the institutional picture beneath the price action is the most sobering of the cycle: net institutional buying across ETFs, treasuries, and miners just hit a record low of -464% — a level not seen since 2020. CoinShares says it's a sentiment shock, not a structural break. GRAM officially replaces TON on June 15, and Russia's Duma is advancing crypto tax reform that could formalize one of the world's largest mining economies. $BTC $ETH $SOL #ClarityActTaxHearings

I’ll admit it—I got this one wrong. 🤷‍♂️ My expectation was that Trump would avoid escalating tensions with Iran ahead of key political events, but markets had other plans. The geopolitical shock quickly spilled into risk assets, putting pressure on both equities and crypto. 📉 Before the headlines hit, I believed $BTC had a clear path toward higher levels. Instead, momentum faded, price stalled, and sellers regained control. Now all eyes are on the upcoming CPI release. 📊 With energy prices remaining elevated, inflation data could become a major catalyst for market direction. Even if numbers come in close to expectations, persistent inflation concerns may keep pressure on risk assets over the longer term. One asset that continues to catch my attention is $MORPHO. 🔥 Despite broader market weakness, it has shown notable resilience. The project is starting to look like a serious contender in the DeFi space, and if adoption and capital inflows continue to accelerate, it could eventually challenge some of the established leaders. Definitely one to keep on the watchlist. As for $HYPE, the move played out largely according to plan. 🎯 Price reached my target zone, I exited the position, and the trade followed the framework I established from entry to exit. The profits were expected—the speed of the market reaction following geopolitical developments was not. ⚠️ The next major test remains macroeconomic data. Markets are already dealing with weakness across several fronts: • Dollar Index under pressure • Equities struggling • Bitcoin losing momentum • Risk appetite fading That combination deserves respect. I'm also watching key liquidity events closely. Large-cap narratives often attract significant capital flows, but they can just as easily create volatile pump-and-dump conditions when expectations become excessive. 👀 Regarding my current holdings—$EDU, $APT, and $AUCTION—nothing has changed.

📊 CPI Is Out — But Liquidity Still Tells The Real Story Markets finally got the latest CPI data, and the initial reaction was exactly what traders were waiting for. While headline inflation remained elevated, core CPI came in softer than expected, giving risk assets room to breathe. Equity futures quickly recovered part of their losses, and market sentiment improved almost immediately. One trader reportedly positioned aggressively ahead of the release, buying a massive ETH position before the announcement and exiting shortly afterward with over $1 million in profit. Impressive trade. But these trades make headlines because they are rare. Most participants don’t get rich from predicting one data release. They get rich by surviving long enough to benefit from multiple cycles. 🟠 BTC remains trapped near the lower end of its recent range around 61,000–62,000. Volatility has increased, but direction remains unclear. Momentum indicators continue to show hesitation rather than conviction. 🔵 ETH has defended the 1,620 region multiple times and managed a modest rebound. Relative strength remains better than many altcoins, though buyers are still reluctant to chase aggressively. 🟣 SOL continues trading under pressure near the mid-60s. The broader structure remains defensive, and capital has yet to show convincing signs of returning at higher prices. 🧠 The bigger issue isn’t CPI. It’s liquidity. Macro data may create short-term volatility, but sustained trends are created by where capital consistently chooses to stay. Right now, the market remains selective. Strong assets continue attracting buyers after weakness. Weak assets continue struggling to maintain attention. That distinction matters far more than a single economic report.

BlackRock is watching whether the US Iran energy shock is starting to feed into inflation, with economists expecting a 4.2% YoY jump. For crypto traders, the danger is not only higher CPI. The danger is the chain reaction. Energy shock pushes inflation expectations higher. Higher inflation keeps rate cut hopes weaker. Weaker rate-cut hopes pressure risk assets. Then BTC trades less like digital gold and more like high beta liquidity exposure. That is why I would not only watch the CPI number. I would watch how bonds, DXY, oil, and BTC react together after the release. If BTC drops while oil and yields rise, that is macro pressure. If BTC holds despite a hot print, that shows stronger demand underneath. $HMSTR $DEGEN $ID #SpaceXIPOvsOpticsCrash #HormuzStrikeRiskOff #MayCPIHikeWatch

US May CPI just hit 4.2% YoY, the highest since April 2023. But crypto bounced anyway. Energy prices drove most of the move, up 3.9% MoM and responsible for over 60% of the monthly gain. The split that matters: core CPI rose just 0.2% MoM, missing the 0.3% consensus. That softer core print was enough to pull BTC back from the $60K edge to around $62K within hours of the release. Headline hot, core cooling. Markets took the "less bad" reading as a relief. The macro picture is still evolving though: · Goldman Sachs scrapped all 2026 rate cut calls after the May jobs report · Base case now: two cuts in 2027 · Some Wall Street forecasts now include a potential rate hike in 2027 if inflation stays elevated · Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.89B in outflows in June before the data dropped Then there's the Warsh wildcard. June 16-17 is his first FOMC meeting, and the single remaining 2026 cut in the dot plot is almost certain to disappear. More disruptive: sources say Warsh may scrap the dot plot entirely. He's spent years arguing against forward guidance, and this meeting could be where that plays out. If the dot plot goes, the tool markets have used for years to price rate expectations goes with it. How are you thinking about positioning around next week's FOMC? Holding, hedging, or sitting it out? #USCPIHot4.2CoreCools