The OpenAI Outcome A quick look at how ChatGPT could lead to a global Superintelligence Singleton. - OpenAI declares AGI in late 2025 or early 2026. Majority of attention shifts to Superintelligence. - OpenAI partners with World (Worldcoin) in 2026 to further distribute Proof of Human technology, increasingly necessary in a post-AGI world full of digital minds. - ChatGPT is used in every US government agency by 2026 and every US ally government agency by 2027. - OpenAI is essentially nationalized in 2026 or 2027, turning it into the US Gov Superintelligence Project. It's possible that all of the top Superintelligence efforts are merged once research reaches national security level, though they may still operate as separate "businesses" even if the underlying tech all goes towards the same Superintelligence. - Between 2026 and 2030 there are 5+ new Stargate data centers announced every year, with a Stargate eventually in every major country, including China. - OpenAI partners with or acquires Helion for fusion power plants to meet growing Stargate energy demand. - The Stargate/Helion sites are closely guarded facilities, eventually including air defense systems. - Late 2025 or early 2026 OpenAI launches the first of many ChatGPT devices, the first being a portable screenless device you carry in your pocket or leave on your desk while working. Within a few years OpenAI has sold over a billion ChatGPT devices. - Late 2025 or 2026 OpenAI announces their humanoid robot progress. The first OpenAI humanoid is on the streets of SF by 2027. - US/China AI relations escalate in 2026 or 2027. In this scenario the US (OpenAI) "wins" by reaching technological escape velocity first. This gives the US a 10 to 100 year lead technologically in just a matter of months. The US may take the high road and just keep these advanced capabilities as a deterrent rather than a means to conquer China and every other country. - China eventuality adopts ChatGPT so as not to be completely left behind. - OpenAI may still allow other AI labs to exist if they reach a capability level where they're able to monitor and deter every lab or even every GPU globally that threatens their existence. - 2027 to 2030+ ChatGPT reaches 90% of human adoption with billions of AI devices and millions of humanoids running ChatGPT even if not all produced by OpenAI. - 2030+ ChatGPT is as widespread as electricity or the internet. Every medical appointment/procedure is assisted by ChatGPT. Every major government decision is shaped by ChatGPT. There may still be borders or governments, but they will existed more as fine-tuned versions of US/OpenAI models to better suit the local human populace. - 2030 to 2035. The age of abundance at the cost of agency. The US/OpenAI now have relatively total control of the world, but also the ability to perfectly distribute the excess resources that ChatGPT has facilitated through streamlining every digital, and increasingly physical, aspect of the entire economy. Not everything is automated, but by 2030 the pushback against AI job loss and retraining became so great that some sort of redistribution system was necessary to maintain stability on Earth until Superintelligence fully arrived. --- Some notes: Feel free to substitute your favorite lab/country in your mind if it helps you better understand this post or other possible future timelines towards digital Superintelligence. I try to look at issues like this less in a way that seems good vs bad and more in a way that just seems most likely to me. That said, I am pro abundance but also pro human agency. I am pro technology but also pro nature. So those things weigh into some of my thinking. China Note: I don't rule out a total China victory scenario either. This post just followed OpenAI since they're the clear closed source leader in my mind in terms of adoption rate. China is still the leader in open source, energy production, humanoid/drone production, and other domains. So it's entirely possible they get there first in a way that is less clear cut or in a way that involves global military conflict prior to Superintelligence being reached. Also, as an American there's a higher probability that a US/OpenAI Superintelligence is more beneficial to my future than a China Superintelligence, so that weighs into my thinking. This post was just a free flow of thoughts written on a rainy afternoon the day before GPT-5, so don't take it too seriously. Or do, and leave a reply explaining how you think the future will actually turn out. Thanks for reading.