泵泵超人

A few days ago, I saw many people saying @42space Most of them were just talking about how "unreasonable" 42's mechanism is from the perspective of Polymarket-type prediction market mechanisms. You can't say this statement is wrong, but it's a narrow view, brother. It's like telling an F1 car that its endurance is poor or telling a rally car that its aerodynamics are off. They're both race cars, but the difference is huge. @Leozayaat himself said that this thing is not a traditional prediction market in the usual sense, but a news event option, the kind that can go long or short. What it truly benchmarks against is not the markets on Predict or Polymarket at all, but the largest category in the trenches — news markets. "Pump Fun is mass media" — Crypto Weituo This sentence of mine has been used by some trolls to bash me from time to time until today. But no one can prove I'm wrong. Because news itself is the best medium for gaming — it affects the widest audience, has the lowest threshold, involves cycles of attention for gaming, the truthfulness of the news itself, and the results caused by the news (imagine how news markets would have been during the "Assassination of Archduke Ferdinand" era). Traditional trenches represented by Pump Fun are essentially attention-gaming - liquidity pricing (see my open-source Scythe 25 on my homepage) based 3-125x one-way long contracts. They can't open shorts and are insufficient to capture other games around news. 42 solves this by combining prediction markets and trench-style dogfighting: odds within rely on binary options, odds beyond rely on on-chain gaming. And it uses the most BNB form — dogfighting. No matter what opinions you have about the mechanism, the reality on BNB Chain is that active users basically have only two behavior patterns — contract users and dogfighting users. I have been on BNB Chain since National Day, and simply copying Kalshi's prediction market setup is useless. 42 only needs to solve one problem: only 42's contracts are the legitimate news markets, completely solving BNB's fragmentation problem. So once again, don't treat 42 as a prediction market. Any project wanting everyone to recognize it as a more powerful prediction market needs to unite various users who are actually quantitative traders already; being compared to Polymarket is a difficult task. But to achieve "news legitimacy at 42," it only needs to pull every key news market that BNB cares about over the $50K farmer daily settlement threshold. Conflict of interest: No vested interest, @42space graduated at the same time as @Hertzflow_xyz and @EASYResidency, just saying a few words for good brothers.

Why has Event Rush opened a new track for prediction markets🤔? If you've ever traded in niche markets on Polymarket, you might have easily given up due to sudden liquidity drying up. The root of the problem lies in the traditional prediction market design relying on an order book mechanism. Without enough counterparties, you either wait or accept worse prices. This mechanism works well in popular markets with ample liquidity, but in long-tail events, niche matches, or specialized topics—liquidity is often pitifully thin. This leads to market fragmentation, huge spreads, and difficult trading. PART 1: Innovation in Prediction Market Gameplay🔥 BN @BinanceWallet's newly launched Event Rush adopts a completely different design philosophy. It no longer relies on order books to match buyers and sellers but introduces a brand-new on-chain prediction mechanism: Power Curve (Bonding Curve) + Parimutuel Settlement This term sounds sophisticated, but its core logic is very simple: The protocol itself acts as an AMM for pricing, while the final earnings are determined by the collective pool of all participants' funds. Feature 1: No cap on returns; the more losers, the bigger the pool In traditional prediction markets, your maximum profit is fixed. For example, if you buy YES at $0.10, your max return is 10x—when the price hits $1, that's the ceiling. This is because traditional markets use fixed-odds settlement: each YES token's final value is $1. Event Rush completely breaks this ceiling. It uses a parimutuel settlement mechanism, meaning all money goes into a common pool, which the winners share at the end. Your return isn't fixed at $1 but depends on: 1️⃣ How big the total pool is: the more people participate and the more money invested, the bigger the pool. 2️⃣ How many winner tokens are in supply: if your chosen outcome wins but few others backed it, you get a large share of the huge pool. Imagine an extreme case: an underdog team wins the World Cup. 99% bet on the favorite, only 1% (including you) bet on the underdog. When the underdog wins, that massive pool—including all losers' stakes—is split among that 1%. You could earn 100x, 1000x, or even more. Early minority who discover the truth can earn nonlinear massive returns. Feature 2: Sentiment equals market; volatility equals opportunity In traditional prediction markets, prices are fixed—determined by buyers and sellers on the order book. If no one is willing to trade at a price, it gets stuck. This causes market prices to lag behind real information. Event Rush's mechanism completely changes this. Prices are no longer set by counterparties but mechanically determined by capital flows and the curve equation. Every buy or sell moves the price smoothly along the curve. This means the market is always liquid and always tradable. For traders, this creates continuous arbitrage and trading opportunities. You can enter and exit at every moment of sentiment fluctuation without worrying about liquidity issues. Feature 3: Trading experience close to Meme Trading If you've ever swapped tokens on Uniswap, you already understand the core logic of Event Rush. You don't need to understand "order books," "liquidity providers," or "Merge and Split." You just need to know: • Bullish on an outcome? Buy its token. • Want to sell? Sell the token. • Event ended? Claim your rewards. It's that simple. This design turns prediction markets from a somewhat niche financial tool into on-chain trading anyone can participate in. You just open your wallet and trade directly. Native experience, no complicated redirects. Also, since it uses the standard ERC-6909 token standard, your prediction positions (outcome tokens) are fully transferable. You can trade them on any platform supporting this standard without being locked into a single app. Part 2: Mechanism Breakdown: Why is the new prediction mechanism rare? Traditional AMMs (like Uniswap) use the x*y=k formula, which works well for swapping two existing tokens. But prediction markets have a different problem: we need to create liquidity from zero. The bonding curve solves this. It defines the relationship between token supply and price. When you buy an outcome token, you don't trade with another trader but mint new tokens directly from the protocol. Each unit bought pushes the price up slightly along the curve. Benefits include: • Liquidity always exists: you can always buy or sell at a known price without waiting for counterparties. • Price rises continuously: this incentivizes early entrants—you get cheaper prices the earlier you discover the truth. • No upfront liquidity injection: unlike traditional AMMs needing liquidity providers, here the protocol itself is the liquidity source. Parimutuel settlement: everyone's money goes into one pool When the event ends, settlement isn't based on "the price you bought at" but pools all money into a common pot, then distributes proportionally to winners. This mechanism has several advantages: First, it eliminates liquidity dry-up risk. In traditional markets, as events near conclusion, traders rush to sell, causing liquidity to vanish suddenly. In Event Rush, this isn't a problem—final settlement doesn't depend on trading liquidity but on the total pool. Second, it incentivizes long-term holding. @42space introduced a clever mechanism: dynamic redemption tax. When you sell your position near event end, you pay a tax. This tax isn't taken by the protocol but stays in the pool, ultimately rewarding winners. The effect is: Punishing information arbitrageurs near the end and protecting long-term holders' interests. Event Rush is not just a brand-new prediction market; it represents a new on-chain design philosophy. Through clever math and incentive design, we can create financial tools that are liquid, fair, and easy to use. For the crypto industry, this means prediction markets are no longer niche tools. You can participate in global event prediction and trading in the simplest way and earn truly nonlinear returns. Event Rush is live now. It's your turn to discover the next event👊

Thanks to @Bybit_Official @benbybit and @Rav_Hedda for organizing the event, I've been eating delicious pizza these days 🍕 The idea of randomly selecting toppings to make pizza is pretty creative, just like when NFTs were first launched, I almost ended up making a mustard-flavored pizza by hand P4 is Pump Pump who made a curry ham pizza, surprisingly it was quite tasty 😂